NEWS

Research by Economics Professor published in Science

February, 2008

Professor Mark Montgomery's work has been published by the prestigious journal Science. In his paper "The Urban Transformation of the Developing World," published in the February 8th issue of Science, professor Montgomery argues that sometime in the next 20 to 30 years, developing countries in Asia and Africa are likely to cross a historic threshold, joining Latin America in having a majority of urban residents. The urban demographic transformation are described in the paper, with an emphasis on estimates and forecasts of urban population aggregates. To provide policy-makers with useful scientific guidance in the upcoming urban era, demographic researchers will need to refine their data sets to include spatial factors as well as urban vital rates and to make improvements to forecasting methods currently in use. A link to the full text can be found at Science's webpage. or here